Pre-tourney Rankings
Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#311
Expected Predictive Rating-11.0#323
Pace72.6#84
Improvement+0.5#161

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#303
First Shot-4.4#301
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#209
Layup/Dunks-1.7#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#300
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#205
Freethrows+0.5#137
Improvement+1.9#87

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#285
First Shot-4.5#306
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#155
Layups/Dunks+2.2#78
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#272
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#121
Freethrows-6.9#353
Improvement-1.4#247
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 4.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 20.0 - 5.00.0 - 10.0
Quad 30.0 - 2.00.0 - 12.0
Quad 47.0 - 9.07.0 - 21.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 57   @ Lipscomb L 79-86 4%     0 - 1 +4.1 -0.5 +5.8
  Nov 13, 2018 229   Arkansas Little Rock L 67-83 41%     0 - 2 -22.7 -12.1 -9.6
  Nov 20, 2018 252   @ Cal St. Northridge L 77-80 26%     0 - 3 -5.6 -7.4 +2.1
  Nov 23, 2018 7   @ Kentucky L 62-77 1%     0 - 4 +7.2 -1.7 +9.3
  Dec 01, 2018 117   @ Western Kentucky L 74-88 8%     0 - 5 -7.4 +2.2 -8.9
  Dec 09, 2018 343   @ Coppin St. W 64-55 62%     1 - 5 -3.3 -14.4 +10.7
  Dec 15, 2018 315   N.C. A&T L 76-78 61%     1 - 6 -14.2 -0.9 -13.3
  Dec 18, 2018 118   @ Akron L 60-82 8%     1 - 7 -15.5 -8.0 -6.3
  Dec 22, 2018 58   @ Memphis L 41-99 4%     1 - 8 -46.9 -33.8 -1.7
  Dec 29, 2018 142   @ Vanderbilt L 76-95 11%     1 - 9 -14.6 +0.4 -13.3
  Jan 03, 2019 326   Tennessee Tech L 64-66 68%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -16.0 -12.9 -3.0
  Jan 05, 2019 129   Jacksonville St. L 62-69 19%     1 - 11 0 - 2 -6.9 -6.7 -0.5
  Jan 10, 2019 260   Eastern Kentucky W 82-81 48%     2 - 11 1 - 2 -7.6 +2.2 -9.9
  Jan 12, 2019 262   Morehead St. L 61-74 48%     2 - 12 1 - 3 -21.7 -20.6 -0.5
  Jan 17, 2019 326   @ Tennessee Tech W 79-62 47%     3 - 12 2 - 3 +8.6 +8.7 +0.2
  Jan 19, 2019 54   @ Belmont L 74-92 4%     3 - 13 2 - 4 -6.2 +1.4 -6.9
  Jan 24, 2019 140   @ Austin Peay L 74-89 10%     3 - 14 2 - 5 -10.3 -3.8 -5.7
  Jan 26, 2019 56   @ Murray St. L 62-100 4%     3 - 15 2 - 6 -26.9 -5.2 -22.3
  Jan 31, 2019 297   Tennessee Martin W 68-67 56%     4 - 15 3 - 6 -9.8 -13.3 +3.5
  Feb 02, 2019 317   Southeast Missouri St. W 79-50 62%     5 - 15 4 - 6 +16.7 +7.1 +12.2
  Feb 07, 2019 262   @ Morehead St. W 81-80 2OT 28%     6 - 15 5 - 6 -2.1 +0.2 -2.4
  Feb 09, 2019 260   @ Eastern Kentucky L 65-75 28%     6 - 16 5 - 7 -13.0 -13.9 +1.7
  Feb 14, 2019 54   Belmont L 66-77 8%     6 - 17 5 - 8 -4.8 -6.5 +1.7
  Feb 16, 2019 129   @ Jacksonville St. L 65-84 9%     6 - 18 5 - 9 -13.4 -0.7 -13.6
  Feb 21, 2019 329   SIU Edwardsville L 84-85 69%     6 - 19 5 - 10 -15.4 -1.8 -13.6
  Feb 23, 2019 313   Eastern Illinois W 75-60 61%     7 - 19 6 - 10 +2.9 -3.0 +6.3
  Feb 28, 2019 317   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 74-89 41%     7 - 20 6 - 11 -21.8 -0.8 -21.2
  Mar 02, 2019 297   @ Tennessee Martin L 86-91 35%     7 - 21 6 - 12 -10.3 -3.9 -5.7
Projected Record 7.0 - 21.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%